Thinking of the Stanford Marshmallow Experiment from the 1970s (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanford_marshmallow_experiment), I was wondering how this experiment would be played out if one of the disqualified three test subject kids (who didn’t apparently understand the instructions), were taken to a present day outcome.
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“So we’re going to do a small exercise: I’m going to leave this marshmallow here and…”
- kid eats marshmallow
“..sorry, I didn’t finish [gets out another marshmallow], I’m going to leave this marshmallow here and when I get back..”
- kid eats marshmallow
“..[frustrated] okay, trying this again. In a moment I’m going to put this marshmallow in front of you and leave it there. If you don’t eat it until I get back, I’ll give you two marshmallows as reward.”
- kid eats marshmallow before they’ve even left the room.
“[*exasperated, sits back down]… That didn’t work.
Let’s try a different experiment: If you can avoid eating this new marshmallow while I’m gone, that I’ll put down near the door as I’m leaving, not only will you get three marshmallows as reward, but all your friends outside will also each get a marshmallow too, and you know how hungry they all are.”
- whilst left alone in the room, the kid eats the marshmallow. Then grabs the bumper pack of all the other marshmallows, stuffs them all into his mouth at once, swallows as many as he can, and then spits out the rest so no one else can have them just as the adult returns back into the room.
—–
This kid of course already comes from a wealthy marshmallow background. He already had access to as many marshmallows as he could want or need through his family’s generational marshmallow wealth. His family also funded his early marshmallow startups that had all failed.
But some time later, the kid finds a locked room with 100 bumper bags of marshmallows that are supposed to be for everyone. He breaks open the door anyway, claims them all for himself, opens all the bags, swallows as many as he can, licks the rest, and builds a pile of the open marshmallow bags in the middle of the room.
With the now hoard of marshmallow bags furiously guarded and soaked in his own spit, the kid convinces other kids that because he’s so good at eating marshmallows, and also at stopping anyone else eating ‘his’ marshmallows. If the other kids want their own lunch marshmallows to be safe, he should look after all the other kids marshmallows too.
Somehow, the other kids are convinced this is a good idea.
Originally thinking it’s a fun game, the other kids now build to expand the marshmallow fortress, guarding it around the clock, working day and night to building a bigger fortress, etc.
After a while, if they work hard enough, they might occasionally be rewarded with one of their own marshmallows back for every day of work. Then one marshmallow for every two days. And then one marshmallow for every week of work.
Times goes on, and the marshmallow kid now requires 10 marshmallows up front payment, and 5 marshmallows a week to store each bag of their marshmallows, even theoretical marshmallows. There’s also a fee of 20 new marshmallows to get your original (even the theoretical) bag back and end the storage agreement. This whole process becomes normalised, and the other kids can’t remember it being any different.
It doesn’t take long to build a marshmallow debt. The kids are paying him more and more marshmallows, and working longer and longer hours building the fortress, to try and pay off their increasing marshmallow debt.
The marshmallow kid continues to hoard and eat the other kids marshmallows, as ‘payment for his services’. The hoard expands exponentially. The number of kids working on the fortress increases.
His original spit laden stolen pile of marshmallow bags are long degraded and mouldy. But he continues to be given more new marshmallows by everyone else, more than he can ever possibly ever eat over his whole lifetime.
—-
Teams of workers toil day and night, to build the marshmallow empire.
Through newly introduced worker fees, add-on storage contracts, and obligatory insurance packages, each marshmallow dept continues to rise no matter how long and hard they continue to work, and for whoever they work. Meanwhile, the marshmallow kid’s pile continues to increase.
For years, the marshmallow kid is heralded as the best at the marshmallows. Through lobbying and misdirection, he’s rewarded lucrative contracts to manage government marshmallows across the country, and in doing so, government marshmallows now become property of the marshmallow kid, and the govenment even pays the kid to take control of the government marshmallows.
Now with a hoard greater than could be eaten in a thousand lifetimes, all the supplies of marshmallows produced are all going straight to the marshmallow kid’s hoard.
Laws are passed and violently enforced, ensuring no-one else can produce marshmallows for themselves or for anyone else. The hoard continues to increase, but it’s still not enough.
He becomes the marshmallow dragon, feared by all, draped over his constantly expanding hoard, burning anyone who dare question or try to get back any marshmallows for themselves.
Did I say marshmallows?